Eylert Ellefsen

Senior Analyst and Hydrologist

Senior market analyst and hydrology expert at Energy Quantified. He has held various leading positions within power market analysis for Markedskraft/MKonline and now in Energy Quantified. Eylert is the go-to person for questions related to power price formation and hydrology.

Blog posts

French nuclear outages: winter 2024 and powerbalance outlooks

The outlooks for French power supplies last winter (Q1-23) were quite bullish because of high gas prices and uncertainty around the nuclear situation due to massive outages for corrosion-checks. A potential cold winter also contributed to a strong risk premium in forward markets.

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Expected production and power balances for the Nordpool areas until 2040

Following on from our last blogpost looking at the expected consumption growth in the Nordic countries, Energy Quantified is now looking at the other side of the energy equation. Read on to find out our predictions for production growth across the Nordics and net power balances until 2040.

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Expected consumption growth in the Nordpool areas until 2040

In October 2021, Energy Quantified (EQ) published a blogpost about the expected growth in electricity consumption across the Nordic countries by 2040. To show the capabilities of EQ’s new long-term consumption data (generated on an hourly basis until 2040 for all individual Nordic price zones) we have updated those previous predictions in this new blogpost. Read on to find out more.

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With low snow levels in the Alps, will we see another hot and dry summer?

This blog post explores the current low hydrological balance across the Alp region this winter and what that could mean in the event of warmer weather this summer. Hydro reservoir levels this winter are even lower than last year, where we saw very low production levels and river flows during the heatwave which affected Europe. Through the study conducted by EQ we have concluded there is a probability of 20-25% of seeing a similar situation this year, given that the hydrological balance in the Alps for the end of February 2023 is lower than what we saw at the same period in 2022.

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