Blog

Energy Quantified's technical blog on product updates, tips for energy market participants, case studies and more.

COVID-19 impact on European demand – update and outlook

Eylert Ellefsen
September 14, 2020

On 25 April (week 17), EQ published a blog post showing the impact the Corona-virus was having on the consumption for 16 countries across western Europe. As the holiday season has mostly come to an end, we have now reviewed our demand outlook for the rest of the year.

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Austrian hydropower: Extreme precipitation and flooding in week 32 (updated)

Eylert Ellefsen
August 18, 2020

The hydropower situation in Austria is now at a nearly maximum resource level. Production from the reservoirs has to be increased in the coming weeks to avoid further flooding and uncontrolled production levels. So far, we haven't seen any effect on the spot market as the German renewables are the main price drivers. However, the strong Austrian hydropower will contribute to slightly lower domestic spot prices.

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Yr-2021 power contracts: Massive market movements, uncertainty and COVID-19 recovery

Eylert Ellefsen
August 4, 2020

The market outlooks for 2021 are very exciting with uncertainty about French nuclear capacity, effects of German coal-fired and nuclear phase-outs, and consumption and financial recovery from COVID-19. In addition, there is an upward potential for both CO2 and gas prices.

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Romanian hydropower situation back to normal?

Eylert Ellefsen
July 28, 2020

The hydropower situation in Romania and most of Southeastern Europe improved in July after a wet June. Price differences between Austra (CWE region) and Hungary/Romania (SEE region) are significantly reduced from the start of Q2. Outlooks for August indicate that the price difference most likely will come out lower than 7 €/MWh which has been traded in the end of July.

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EQ survey of NO2 reservoirs shows they are nearly full with a high risk of spillage

Eylert Ellefsen
July 9, 2020

As 2020 represents an extreme hydropower situation in Norway (partly in Sweden and Finland as well), we have made the extra effort to inspect with our own eyes – and camera! – several hydro reservoirs in the NO2 price zone.

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Norwegian reservoir levels likely to peak by mid August

Eylert Ellefsen
July 9, 2020

We expect Norwegian reservoirs will reach 93%-95% of max capacity in the first half of August, but developments will be bumpy and uneven across the country.

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Fuels lifted French and German July prices

Eylert Ellefsen
July 9, 2020

European spot prices turned out significantly higher in June than what the market expected by the end of May. In this blog post, we’re reviewing the main reasons, focusing on France and Germany.

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French Q4 prices likely overpriced due to 300 TWh nuclear target

Eylert Ellefsen
June 26, 2020

France’s decision to cut the country’s nuclear production target for 2020 spooked markets, but given normal weather conditions Q4 prices for France should come down significantly from current levels, an EQ analysis of the fundamental situation indicates.

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After a dry 1st half of the year, precipitation ups hydropower output in the SEE/Balkan region

Eylert Ellefsen
June 25, 2020

Overall hydropower production in the SEE region has until week 24 been at about 70% of normal, but a recent surge in precipitation has improved inflows in the region, where hydropower represents 20%-25% of overall power supply.

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Reviewing the German power market 2018-2020 using EQ data

Eylert Ellefsen
June 12, 2020

Power markets have changed a lot since the start of 2018 due to stronger EUA-prices and falling gas- and coal prices. To illustrate how customers can benefit from our pool of market data, we have reviewed German power market developments since the start of 2018.

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